Rivers McCown (@riversmccown) and Danny Tuccitto (@IR_DannyT) ran a podcast called the Three Cone Drill. Last August, they invited Sigmund Bloom (@SigmundBloom) and me on to discuss a sprawling array of topics, and the resulting conversation was my favorite that I've ever had about Football, or a number of other topics for that matter.
The Three Cone Drill podcast is now defunct, but Rivers and Danny have given me permission to re-host this episode so it is not lost forever. This is part 2, in which we question the validity of statistics and everything we thought we knew about player aging.
Rivers McCown (@riversmccown) and Danny Tuccitto (@IR_DannyT) ran a podcast called the Three Cone Drill. Last August, they invited Sigmund Bloom (@SigmundBloom) and me on to discuss a sprawling array of topics, and the resulting conversation was my favorite that I've ever had about Football, or a number of other topics for that matter.
The Three Cone Drill podcast is now defunct, but Rivers and Danny have given me permission to re-host this episode so it is not lost forever. This is part 1, including a discussion on the philosophies and strategies of trading in fantasy football.
Welcome to Fantasy Football, in Theory, a brand new fantasy football podcast dedicated to high-level fantasy strategy in the abstract.
The 2007 San Diego Chargers were faced with a choice: part with one of the most successful coaches in NFL history, or with the hot GM who had figured out how to beat the NFL draft.
Today, we re-examine that choice with the benefit of hindsight. In our autopsy, we'll discuss John Bogle, Wyatt Earp, and definitely-not-Albert-Einstein. Our findings carry rather striking implications for our own desires to evaluate talent in fantasy football, and raise a question that strikes to the heart of the scouting profession...
... Can anyone beat the NFL draft?
If you want to read more on this topic, here are links to the articles referenced in this show.
The First Index Mutual Fund: A History of Vanguard Index Trust and the Vanguard Index Strategy, by John Bogle - http://www.vanguard.com/bogle_site/lib/sp19970401.html
Are Certain Teams Better at Drafting than Others? by Chase Stuart - http://www.footballperspective.com/are-certain-teams-better-at-drafting-than-others/
Cade Massey on Flipping Coins and the NFL Draft, by Brian Burke - http://archive.advancedfootballanalytics.com/2013/04/cade-massey-on-flipping-coins-and-nfl.html
Luck vs. Skill: Year-Over-Year NFL Draft Performance, by Steve Drake - http://www.sportsplusnumbers.com/2013/04/luck-vs-skill-nfl-draft-performance.html
Luck vs. Skill: Is Anyone Good at Picking Football Players? by Steve Drake - http://www.sportsplusnumbers.com/2013/05/luck-vs-skill-in-nfl-draft.html
Luck vs. Skill: Are Picks After Trading Up Better than Others? by Steve Drake - http://www.sportsplusnumbers.com/2013/05/luck-vs-skill-are-picks-after-trading.html
No Team Can Beat the Draft, by Neil Paine - http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/no-team-can-beat-the-draft/
I've written in the past on the odd intersection between index funds and fantasy football, in a three part series on index investing in dynasty rookie drafts.
Part 1: http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/article.php?article=harstadindex101
Part 2: http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/article.php?article=harstadindex201
Part 3: http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/article.php?article=harstadindex301
If you enjoy my work, you can find it exclusively at www.footballguys.com. An archive of links to past articles of mine is also available at my blog, http://dynastytheory.blogspot.com/2014/08/a-link-to-all-my-writings.html.
If you have any other questions or comments, or you'd like to submit a topic for a future show, I can be reached via email at FantasyInTheory@Gmail.com, or on Twitter at @AdamHarstad.
Thanks for listening!
Welcome to Fantasy Football, in Theory, a brand new fantasy football podcast dedicated to high-level fantasy strategy in the abstract.
Episode 2 continues our look at questions of size and how much it matters for NFL players. If you're curious about any of the essays cited, you can read them here:
I, Pencil, by Leonard Read - http://www.econlib.org/library/Essays/rdPncl1.html
On Being the Right Size, by J.B.S. Haldane - http://irl.cs.ucla.edu/papers/right-size.html
The Biology of B-Movie Monsters, by Michael C. LeBarbera - http://fathom.lib.uchicago.edu/2/21701757/
If you enjoyed today's guest, you can learn more about the Rookie Scouting Portfolio at his site - https://mattwaldmanrsp.com/
You can also read more of his work-- as well as my own!-- at www.footballguys.com. An archive of links to past articles of mine is also always available at my blog, http://dynastytheory.blogspot.com/2014/08/a-link-to-all-my-writings.html.